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Scott Ritter: Sleepwalking to disaster in Iran

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Alpha
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2005 6:40 am    Post subject: Scott Ritter: Sleepwalking to disaster in Iran

Scott Ritter: Sleepwalking to disaster in Iran

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/1B5FCF4A-FBF6-443A-93A9-5E37C43FDE0B.htm

Iran: A Bridge too Far?:

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article7147.htm

The US war with Iran has already begun (for Israel):

http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/06/20/the-us-war-with-iran-has-already-begun-for-israel.php

Jewish JINSA/PNAC Neocon (Richard Perle) Calls for the Bombing of Iran for Israel:

http://gorillaintheroom.blogspot.com/2005/05/perle-calls-for-invasion-of-iran.html

The Bush-Bolton Plan to Bomb Bushehr (for Israel)

http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/05/15/the-bush-bolton-plan-to-bomb-bushehr-for-israel.php

'A Clean Break' (war for Israel) agenda (from pages 261-269 of James Bamford's 'A Pretext for War' book):

http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/02/11/a-clean-break-from-james-bamford-s-a-pretext-for-war.php

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JINSA Israel firsters: 'IRAQ DOWN, IRAN LEFT TO GO'
:

http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/04/06/jinsa-israel-firsters-iraq-down-iran-left-to-go.php

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The Sales Pitch Begins - Iran

http://gorillaintheroom.blogspot.com/2005/04/sales-pitch-begins-iran.html

Pelosi speech to AIPAC convention; Salutes Their Flag



http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/05/25/pelosi-speech-to-aipac-convention-salutes-their-flag.php


Last edited by Alpha on Tue Jun 21, 2005 8:41 am; edited 9 times in total
Alpha
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2005 6:46 am    Post subject: Re: Scott Ritter: Sleepwalking to disaster in Iran

Alpha wrote:
Scott Ritter: Sleepwalking to disaster in Iran

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/1B5FCF4A-FBF6-443A-93A9-5E37C43FDE0B.htm


The above is right in accordance with the 'A Clean Break: Strategy for Securing the Realm' (war for Israel) agenda of the Zionist (JINSA/CSP/PNAC) Neoconservatives that esteemed US intelligence author James Bamford discusses on pages 261-269 of his new book ('A Pretext for War') which you can read via the following URL:

http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/02/11/a-clean-break-from-james-bamford-s-a-pretext-for-war.php


Last edited by Alpha on Wed Mar 30, 2005 9:15 am; edited 2 times in total
Alpha
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2005 6:50 am    Post subject: Fisk Cancels his Visit (escalating tension in Lebanon)

Fisk Cancels his Visit (escalating tension in Lebanon)


http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/03/29/fisk-has-cancelled-his-visit-escalating-tension-in-lebanon.php
Alpha
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2005 8:42 am    Post subject: 59 Ex-Diplomats Oppose JINSA Nominee John Bolton to UN

59 Ex-Diplomats Oppose JINSA Nominee John Bolton to UN

http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/03/30/59-ex-diplomats-oppose-jinsa-nominee-john-bolton.php
Alpha
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2005 5:30 pm    Post subject: Scott Ritter Says US Plans June Attack on Iran

Scott Ritter Says US Plans June Attack on Iran

http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/02/21/scott-ritter-says-u-s-plans-june-attack-on-iran.php
Alpha
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2005 8:52 pm    Post subject: Powell Says U.S. Was 'Too Loud' over Iraq

JINSA/PNAC hack Cheney said that 'diplomatic' negotiations would not 'work':

http://www.robert-fisk.com/articles114.htm

Men from JINSA and CSP:

http://www.thenation.com/doc.mhtml?i=20020902&s=vest

http://www.truthout.org/docs_2005/033005Y.shtml

Powell Says U.S. Was 'Too Loud' over Iraq - Magazine
Reuters

Wednesday 30 March 2005

Berlin - The United States made errors in presenting its case for war against Iraq, but Saddam Hussein had to be removed, former Secretary of State Colin Powell told a German magazine.

"We were sometimes too loud, too direct, perhaps we made too much noise," Powell told Stern magazine in an interview released on Wednesday. "That certainly shocked the Europeans sometimes."

He said terms like "Old Europe," the expression coined by Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld to describe countries such as France and Germany which opposed the war, had not helped ease European concerns about Washington's policies.

But he said that despite the problems facing U.S. troops in Iraq, it was better that Saddam Hussein was no longer in power.

"Yes, the insurgency is much bigger than we anticipated. But I'm glad that Saddam is in jail," he said in the German article.

Powell said he had argued for a diplomatic solution against cabinet colleagues such as Vice President Dick Cheney, who did not believe that diplomacy would work.

"The situation with Saddam Hussein had to be resolved, either by taming him or by removing him by military means," he said. "I'm sure that the Vice President's view from the very beginning was: we'll never solve this through diplomatic means."

Powell said he was "furious and angry" that he had been misinformed about Iraq's stockpiles of weapons of mass destruction when he laid out the case for war before the United Nations Security Council in February, 2003.

"It was information from our security services and from some Europeans, including Germans. Some of this information was wrong. I did not know this at the time," he told the magazine.

"Hundreds of millions followed it on television. I will always be the one who presented it. I have to live with that."

But he said he had never considered resigning and rejected suggestions that his relationship with President Bush was a cool one.

"Anyone who says that has no idea. We are friends," he said.

-------
Alpha
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2005 9:12 pm    Post subject: More on PNAC

http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/03/08/excellent-replies-on-pnac-israel-nukes-by-dr-helen-caldicott.php
Alpha
Posted: Thu Mar 31, 2005 8:40 am    Post subject: Re: More on PNAC

Alpha wrote:
http://www.warwithoutend.co.uk/wake-up-america-your-government-is-hijacked-by-zionism/2005/03/08/excellent-replies-on-pnac-israel-nukes-by-dr-helen-caldicott.php





Published on Tuesday, March 29, 2005 by
CommonDreams.org
Revelations from an Insider
Whistleblower Daniel Ellsberg on the Bush
Administration, Civil Disobedience and the Eternal
Fires of Hell
by Mira Ptacin

The sound of Daniel Ellsberg's voice could falsely
identify him as a softy. It's delicate and cottony,
but the Pentagon insider-turned-peace activist has wit
cut sharp as a razor and insight that hasn't faded
with age.

At 73 he is out of the limelight but still trying to
shake up our nation. Ellsberg recently finished a U.S.
'Truth-Telling' tour, spoke in Israel and will soon be
traveling to Hiroshima. And after publishing his first
memoir 'Secrets: A Memoir of Vietnam and the Pentagon
Papers', he's polishing off his second book about
America's fatal attraction to nuclear threats.

Ellsberg publicized the Pentagon Papers 30 years ago,
helping tip public opinion against our last major
attempt at imperial democracy. And on this day in
1973, the last American combat troops left Vietnam,
ending the direct involvement of the United States in
the Vietnam War. Now Ellsberg is talking again.
Shouldn't we be listening?

Where do you see the US relationship with Iran heading
in the next 6 months?

Well, every sign is that they're still on course on
the program that some of these people laid out on The
Project for the New American Century, going back to
when they all worked under Dick Cheney back in '91-92.
Enforcing regime change in Iraq was at the head of the
list. In general it was a remaking of the Middle East.
I noticed former weapons inspector Scott Ritter says
June is the likely time [to strike Iran] and I think
Ritter's predictions are to be taken very seriously.

The question is: Will it be Israel as Cheney prepared
us for recently who makes the attack, or will it be
us? It could well be that the game here is that Israel
is making such strong noises in doing it, knowing that
it would entirely set the Middle East on flame. That
the US will give an excuse for a strike--that we had
to forestall the Israelis--it would've been even
worse, and we had to do it because otherwise the
Israelis would do it, better that we did. One theory
that is even worse in the Middle East is the Israelis
taking action like that before we do. That's just a
conjecture. The Israelis have used their influence
before in that fashion. They've even threatened before
at various times that if we didn't act forcefully they
would have to use nuclear weapons.

That's so frightening, because it seems when we went
into Iraq, Bush was confident that we were going to be
greeted with flowers, etc. etc., and now it's a mess.
Where would we get troops and the resources that the
US would need if we were to go head to head with Iran
and Syria?

They would probably have to shy away from ground
actions, so what are they thinking of doing? They're
not actually directly threatening use of nuclear
weapons and I don't think they'd be quick to do that,
but they very well refuse to rule that out. First use
is on the table. There's no reason to think their
intelligence is good enough to actually knock out
whatever it is the Iranians have. How can they be
thinking of doing such a radical and reckless step
without even being sure of succeeding? The answer
seems to be, and I've heard this now from two people
who are very good sources in the administration, that
this administration actually believes they will
achieve regime change by an air attack. They think the
mullahs there, the theocracy, is so unpopular that a
demonstration of their vulnerability and the fact that
they can't protect their people would topple them and
would leave to people overthrowing them.

Do you think they really believe what they're saying
or do you think they just don't care?

Well, we could've asked that three years ago when they
were talking about what was going to happen in Iraq
and say 'Could they really believe that?' and that's a
fair question. But you can't really believe from what
they say. That's true of all politicians--Democrat or
Republican, liberal or conservative--you cannot tell
what they really believe from what they tell us. But,
on the other hand, we now know of this group we can't
say 'Well, they can't believe that because it's
crazy'. That's not sound either because they've proven
that one. They can believe what's crazy. I think
there's a passage somewhere in Alice in Wonderland
when Alice says to the king, 'I can't believe that',
and the king says 'I dare say you haven't had enough
practice. Every day I make it a point to believe six
impossible things before breakfast.' These guys have
had a lot of practice.

. . . Let me move ahead for a minute to what I think
lies ahead. Can I?

Sure.

I think our democracy is going to be tested to the
breaking point by some very dark days ahead and before
long. I do expect there to be another major terrorist
event. Ports, the nuclear power plants and the
chemical factories are extremely vulnerable to an
attack. To a considerable event, the war against
terrorism has been a hoax because the president has
not only spent so much money on the war in Iraq, but
because the war in Iraq virtually subverts the war on
terror. You cannot reduce the appeal and the strength
of Al Qaeda while we occupy Iraq. You can only
strengthen it, and strengthening it is what we've been
doing steadily for the last couple of years. This is
the worst public policy decision making, most
antidemocratic and most inclined to be authoritarian,
I would say, since the Nixon administration, but Nixon
was confronting a Democratic House and Senate and a
relatively liberal population in media 40 years ago.
John Mitchell and John Connolly and Nixon himself had
quite authoritarian instincts, but they weren't
allowed to act on them, and to the extent that they
did act on them -- it brought them down.

Virtually all the things Nixon did against me that
were illegal to keep me from exposing his secret
policy are now legal under the Patriot Act. Going into
my doctor's office to get information to blackmail me
with, wiretaps without warrants, overhearing me--all
legal now. The CIA supplied the burglars in my
doctor's office with disguises and with cameras and
they did a psychological profile on me. That was
illegal then, legal now.

I would have said that one thing that Nixon did
against me was not yet legal and that was to bring a
squad of a dozen Cuban-American assets of the CIA up
from Miami to beat me up or kill me on May 3rd, 1973
on the steps of the Capitol. Right now there's at
least one Special Forces team under control of the
White House operating in this country to take 'extra
legal actions'. Now, that sounds to me like a White
House-controlled death squad. And that is what the
White House sent against me. It's not clear whether
the intention was to kill me then, the words were to
'incapacitate Daniel Ellsberg totally'. When I asked
their prosecutor, 'does that mean to kill me?'. He
said, 'The words were 'to incapacitate you totally.'
But he said, 'You have to understand these guys that
were CIA assets never use the words 'kill'.'

I think that's the kind of thing we do have in our
future, especially when there's another terrorist
attack. In that case, I think we'll see enacted very
quickly a new Patriot Act, which I'm sure has already
been drafted which will make the first Patriot Act
look like the Bill of Rights, and the Bill of Rights
will be a historical memory.

Before we spoke, I asked some of my close friends and
family if they could ask you any question, what would
it be. And most of the responses I received from good
friends of mine, younger ones, were 'What can we do?!'
We're reading about things we don't stand for. We're
part of the peace movement or we just don't stand for
the war. What could the little peons like us do to
stop an administration that doesn't seem to be
listening to its people?

We as citizens--young or old--are irresponsible if we
lie back and say, 'Well, it's a difficult and
dangerous problem, I guess we'll have to let them to
do best.' We know, by now, that they are not going to
do best. It is a very serious problem and we have to
take a very active concern and if we don't, not only
does our security get worse and worse, but our
democracy goes way down the drain.

I haven't said anything about the unusual case that
this administration relies on a constituency of
right-wing Christian fundamentalist who entertain
ideas as crazy as any that can be found, and who
believe, for instance, that nuclear war will be God's
Will and a necessary precursor for the return of the
Messiah in their lifetime. Therefore they're not very
concerned about nuclear arms control but more
seriously who believe that Israel must be in control
of a greater Israel, from the Nile to the Euphrates,
as promised in the bible, in order for their Messiah
to return. And therefore, that Likud's policy and
Sharon's policy of holding on to the West Bank is
absolutely essential and has to be expanded. That's a
disastrous influence on our foreign policy and it's a
very big influence.

I'd like to see the president directly asked (I
believe he holds this, by the way, as does Tom Delay
and other top republican leaders. . . John Ashcroft
and others in Congress) 'Do you, Mr. President,
believe that a Palestinian state in the West Bank
would postpone the return of the Messiah?' I think
he'd find it hard to say that he doesn't believe that,
because he's supposed to witness for what he believes
in his religious faith and he'd lose a lot of support
if he denied that.

The kind of activity that I think is potentially
helpful in our situation is revelations from insiders
as to what has been done in our name and what is being
planned. In other words, whistle blowing, unauthorized
disclosures. We've had more of that than probably ever
before but in very small dribbles here and there, and
without much in the way of documents. What I really
hope to see is somebody putting something out on the
scale of the Pentagon Papers, thousands of pages of
classified documents--which sounds like a lot, by the
way, but it really just means a whole file drawer.
They could show comprehensively what the real policy
is, where it's going and what the cost of those are to
be, in a way that we just haven't seen at all.
Nobody's really done that.

But the alternative is to be silent and not do what
you could to end war that involves 100,000 Iraqi lives
so far and almost 1500 American lives at this point
and more to come. So it really is at this point for
people to consider sacrificing their own freedom to
have a chance to end a war. We need to take risks and
we need to protest. People are capable but don't think
of being called on for it. We are a rogue superpower
and this is not a time to postpone and save ourselves
for another time. Nonviolence and truthfulness is
essential.

For more information on Daniel Ellsberg and the
Pentagon Papers, go to http://www.ellsberg.net.

Mira Ptacin is assistant editor at CommonDreams.org.
She can be reached at miramptacin@commondreams.org.

###
http://www.commondreams.org/cgi-bin/print.cgi?file=/views05/0329-20.htm

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Whose War?:

http://www.amconmag.com/03_24_03/cover.html

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A Strategy for Israel in the Nineteen Eighties
by Oded Yinon (with a foreword by, and translated by Israel Shahak)

http://student.cs.ucc.ie/cs1064/jabowen/IPSC/articles/article0005345.html

http://www.nowarforisrael.com

http://www.nogw.com/warforisrael.html

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'A Fascist America: How Close are We?':

http://www.antiwar.com/justin/?articleid=5070

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US has been preparing to turn America into a military dictatorship:

http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/suppression.html
Alpha
Posted: Thu Mar 31, 2005 10:11 am    Post subject: U.S. Embrace Can Be Fatal to Arabs

http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/opinion/la-oe-shatz28mar28,1,5121345.story

COMMENTARY
U.S. Embrace Can Be Fatal to Arabs
The opposition in Lebanon owes no thanks to Washington.
By Adam Shatz
Adam Shatz is literary editor of the Nation.

March 28, 2005

Only a year ago, American supporters of the Iraq war were in despair. The spread of the Iraqi insurgency — and of anti-American sentiment throughout the Arab and Muslim world — had undercut the claim of Paul Wolfowitz and others that Saddam Hussein's downfall would spark a wave of democratization in the region. If democracy meant burning cities, suicide attacks, life-threatening checkpoints and Abu Ghraib-style torture, Arabs and Muslims wanted nothing of it, something deeply reassuring to their autocratic rulers.

Today, the mood of the pro-war camp has changed to euphoria. The Iraqi and Palestinian elections, the mass demonstrations by Lebanese seeking an end to the Syrian presence, signs of a thaw in Hosni Mubarak's Egypt — all these developments have breathed new life into the Wolfowitz Doctrine. The Iraqis may not have thrown rice and flowers our way, but, so the story goes, their liberation has prompted Arabs to challenge their own regimes, and the United States stands poised to reap the benefits of "democratization." (Even sensible observers like historian David Fromkin have likened the changes to the fall of the Berlin Wall, although the only thing resembling that wall in the region is the "separation barrier" Israel has built on Palestinian land.)

It's an appealing story but, unfortunately, it isn't true. If anything, the war was a gift to the jihadists. And to the extent that the Middle East has moved toward democracy, it's as much in spite of American pressure as because of it.

The current neoconservative object of desire is Lebanon, and it's a good case study of what's really happening in the region. When the anti-Syrian opposition gathered in Beirut's Martyrs Square to demand the withdrawal of Syrian troops, everyone from Thomas Friedman of the New York Times to Reuel Marc Gerecht of the American Enterprise Institute was quick to credit the Bush administration for inspiring the Lebanese. Never mind that the mobilization of Lebanon's opposition to Syrian rule was detonated by the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, not the Iraqi elections; that the cry was for independence, not democracy; and that Shiites, who at 40% of the population make up the country's largest religious group, were conspicuously absent from the demonstrations. Never mind that Lebanon already has elections (although they are held, as in Iraq and the Palestinian territories, under the watchful eye of an occupying power).

For President Bush, the "Cedar Revolution" marked the beginning of an Arab spring. But in reality, despite their genuine yearnings for independence, the Martyrs Square demonstrators represented only a portion of the country's fractured polity — the more educated, secular members of the Christian, Druze and Sunni elites — which is why unsympathetic observers preferred the term "BMW Revolution." And its leaders, notably Walid Jumblatt, a Druze chieftain, and the exiled Maronite Christian leader Michel Aoun, who in 1990 staged a failed coup backed by Hussein, are not exactly liberal democrats.

Not for the first time, the romantic port city of Beirut had seduced Western intellectuals who saw in it only what they wanted to see: an educated middle class, a large Christian population and the stirrings of a pro-Western, pro-democracy movement.

Then came the enormous, largely Shiite pro-Syria rally organized by Hezbollah and its leader, Hassan Nasrallah. It was the equivalent of a bucket of ice water poured over the cedar revolutionaries.

These demonstrators, who also raised the Lebanese flag, came to the protests not out of love for Syria but out of suspicion of the motives of the opposition and of the White House, which had given the Cedar Revolution not only its blessing but its very name. Having suffered under the domination of the Christian minority before the civil war, many Lebanese Shiites feared the anti-Syrian opposition was a proxy of American, Israeli and Christian interests seeking to humiliate Lebanon's neighbor, to dismantle Hezbollah (which is widely admired for ending the Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon) and to force Lebanon to sign a separate peace with Israel, on terms favorable to Israel.

Among Shiites who lived through Israel's 22-year occupation in the south, it did not go unnoticed that the U.S. was demanding a full and immediate Syrian withdrawal before Lebanon's next elections, even as it hailed the elections in occupied Palestine and Iraq as models of Middle Eastern democracy.

Washington's praise for "democracy," in other words, had precious little credibility with a huge portion of Lebanon's citizens. It didn't have to be this way. If the U.S. hadn't invaded Iraq, endorsed Israeli land grabs in the West Bank and threatened both Iran and Syria, Lebanese Shiites might have trusted our word and even joined the Martyrs Square protests in greater numbers. Instead, they lined up behind Hezbollah, which depends on Syrian support to continue the fight with Israel on Lebanon's southern border.

That outpouring of support has left Jumblatt and other opposition leaders scrambling to woo Hezbollah — something that hardly pleases the American government, which views the guerrilla movement and political party as a terrorist organization. The counterdemonstration also backed the Americans into a corner and led the Bush administration recently to signal that it would not oppose Hezbollah's continued participation in Lebanese parliamentary politics, even as it unconvincingly insisted that its position hadn't changed. As with Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani in Iraq, the American government was forced to soften its opposition to Islamist participation — to bend to Arab reality.

In the days after the Hezbollah demonstration, yet another rally was held — a counter-counterdemonstration of sorts, organized by the opposition — in which the Lebanese people bravely restated their desire for full sovereignty. It drew even more people than the Hezbollah rally had, and even some Shiites participated.

But what the Lebanese example reveals is not, as Wolfowitz would have you think, the influence of American hard power, but rather its destructive effect on American soft power. It was Rafik Hariri's assassination, not the Iraq war, that gave the Lebanese the courage to say "enough is enough" to the Syrians. The excessive use of American military force has not only eroded our tarnished reputation in the Arab and Muslim world, it has made our support even more of a liability for groups like the Lebanese opposition seeking an end to Syrian domination.

As a result, the groups most likely to benefit from democratization, especially if it is pursued precipitously, are those that are the best organized and with the strongest claims to "authenticity." In a world where the only relatively free spaces have been mosques, these will invariably be the Islamist groups like Hezbollah and the Shiite bloc in postwar Iraq.

It's not that we shouldn't encourage democracy in the Arab world. Of course we should. But if we continue to be seen as dishonest brokers of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and as occupiers of countries that have not made war on us, Washington's embrace is likely to be a fatal one for Arab and Muslim democrats.
Alpha
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2005 9:10 am    Post subject: AJC Mideast Briefing: the Crawford Summit and More

Date: Mon, 11 Apr 2005 18:56:31 -0700
From: "Jeff Blankfort" <jblankfort@earthlink.net>
Subject: AJC Mideast Briefing: the Crawford Summit and More


This briefing from Israel by the American Jewish Committee's Eran Lerman, formerly a member of Israeli intelligence is well worth reading, particularly the analysis he offers at the end of the article. And, of course, there is the question of Iran.

Jeff






The Crawford Summit and
The Question of Construction in the E-1 Zone:
A New Round in the Battle of Jerusalem?
A Weekly Briefing on Israeli and Middle Eastern Affairs
April 11, 2005

Dr. Eran Lerman
Director Israel/Middle East Office


There was a dramatic tone to some of the media reports this week, on the eve of the "Crawford Summit," about the question of settlement expansion; a conflict was brewing, it was argued, over the Bush administration's displeasure with Israeli plans to build 3,500 housing units in an area known as E-1. This would constitute an extension westward of the town of Ma'aleh Adumim and would create an urban link to Jerusalem. The differences over this plan are real enough (and long-standing), but it is not at all certain that they merit the attention given at this time. At least some of attention may have been generated by those who are eager—for various reasons—to see a rift emerge between Prime Minister Ariel Sharon and President George W. Bush. (For certain elements of the Israeli right wing, it has become almost essential to prove that Sharon is not telling the truth, and the U.S. is not "really" committed to support the Israeli position on the future of the settlement blocs.) The real agenda of this crucial meeting at the president's ranch concerned, above all, the urgent need for action on the Iranian nuclear effort, which is fast approaching the point of no return; as well as other aspects of the broader regional agenda, launched by the administration, and the profound ways in which they have transformed Israel's strategic environment; and the more immediate questions related to the implementation within the next three months of the Disengagement Plan. But all these items seemed to be overshadowed by the "E-1 question," and by the forceful Palestinian complaint that this project, if carried out, would slice the West Bank into two and would render it impossible to create a contiguous Palestinian state. However, a closer look at the map, and at the timetables, would indicate that what is at stake is not the possibility of implementing Stage II of the Road Map, but rather the decisive, though not necessarily immediate, battle for the future of Jerusalem, which is perhaps the most delicate and explosive of all Stage III (permanent status) issues. Ma'aleh Adumim, whether linked to Jerusalem by a narrow road or by a broad built-up zone, does not cut in half the West Bank; it is quite conceivable to construct a good road that will carry people and goods from Ramallah to Bethlehem—either under Ma'aleh Adumim or aroumd it to the east—so that the Palestinians do not have to go through Israeli checkpoints. On the other hand, the construction at E-1 would indeed tighten Israeli control over the eastern approaches of Jerusalem, thus making it more difficult to redivide the city (which is, indeed, Sharon's intent; he begins every meeting with foreign dignitaries with a reference to the unity of Israel's capital, and claims, with some reason, to be upholding Yitzhak Rabin's own legacy on this question). The battle for Jerusalem, which has always been at the core of the conflict, is thus reemerging, well in advance of the actual resumption of negotiations. Sunday's clashes with far-right Jewish elements who wanted (but failed) to use the Temple Mount to trigger a crisis that would derail the disengagement; the equally ugly responses by some Muslims, who do not want the feet of Jews to "defile" the Haram al-Sharif; the E-1 controversy; and the attempt by the PA leadership to move directly to Permanent Status negotiations, including Jerusalem—all are opening shots in this new round of political warfare (which, for now at least, have not been translated into actual fighting, beyond the unrelated deterioration in Gaza). The tensions over the city will not go away, even if the deft handling by the police prevented a conflagration on the first day of Nisan 5765 (April 10), the occasion chosen by the radicals to attempt their provocative ascent. Was it wise, however, for the Israeli government to add fuel to the crisis by reviving the debate over the E-1 plans? After all, the construction itself will not start for some years, and the present timing, apparently harmful to Mahmoud Abbas in his internal struggle with Hamas, could not have been worse. Explanations based on sheer folly or inattention to detail are indeed, very often, the most plausible. Yet there is another way of looking at this "crisis," which may have been somewhat more orchestrated than meets the eye. If timing is at the root of the trouble here, timing—i.e., an agreement to delay—could easily be part of the solution. Meanwhile, the overt pressure on Israel could be used by the U.S. to show Abbas that there is some degree of even-handedness at work; and thus it would make it easier for Bush to require him:

To help coordinate disengagement plans with Israel, particularly on the security framework;
To break the present mold of inaction and take effective measures against the terrorists (who are even now raining mortar shells on Gush Katif);
To abandon the unworkable push for "Stage III Now!" and prepare the ground for an acceptable interim agreement, once the preconditions (an end to terror) are met.
This is reminiscent, one might say, of the Jewish folktale about a poor man who comes to his rabbi to cry over the incredible crush he and his large family are enduring in a small one-room hovel; the rabbi's advice, much to the man's surprise, is to add a goat to the household! Two weeks later, when told they may now send the goat out, the family suddenly feels so much better, breathing fresh air in their very tiny but comfortable home. The E-1 plan, in other words, may not mean much on the ground for years to come—but it has proven a useful device in demonstrating to the Palestinians, and their leaders, that Israel is ready to struggle for Jerusalem, while, at the same time, showing that the U.S. is not automatically allied with Israel on all issues. If taken off the agenda (for the time being) under U.S. pressure, E-1 could become the Palestinians' "rabbi's goat"—i.e., the extra element whose removal makes it easier to adjust to other demands.


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